AXT Inc

AXTI
· NASDAQ
Analyzed 2026-08-144 days sinceGenerated by FomoLog Agent
FOMO Score
+17.55%
+$14.33 · per share
Report-date close → Current (2026-08-17)
$81.64$95.97
Days Held
4d
Price As Of
2026-08-17
Not investment adviceThis is not investment advice. FomoLog provides factual summaries and post-hoc price-change context only. Investment decisions and their outcomes are solely the responsibility of the investor.Legal Notice ↗

Price Trend

Report date → now · daily close
$70.0$80.0$90.0$100Aug 13Aug 14Aug 17Report date $81.64Current $95.97

Summary

AXT closed at $81.64 on the Nasdaq on 2026-08-14 (+5.41% vs. the previous day). In its Q2 2026 results announced on 2026-07-30, revenue reached a record quarterly high of $47.6 million (+77% quarter-over-quarter, +164% year-over-year), and GAAP operating income turned positive at $10.42 million (versus -$6.70 million in Q2 2025). The company signed long-term indium phosphide (InP) wafer supply agreements with Coherent, Casella, and Lumentum, each including upfront deposits, and its subsidiary Tongmei withdrew its Shanghai Stock Exchange listing application on 2026-06-26, shifting instead toward a Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing.

Price-Change Context Note

The 2026-08-14 rally extended the upward move that formed after the Q2 2026 results (record revenue, return to operating profit) were announced on 2026-07-30; optical-communications-related stocks (Applied Optoelectronics, Lumentum, Corning) also rose the same day. The 8/14 volume of 9.63 million shares was below the recent 20-day average volume of 11.83 million shares, appearing as an extension of the elevated trading levels that have continued since late July.

Key Facts

Q2 2026 revenue reached a record quarterly high of $47.6M (+77% QoQ, +164% YoY; announced 2026-07-30)
GAAP operating income turned positive at $10.42M (versus -$6.70M in Q2 2025)
Raised approx. $550M in April 2026 through a public offering of 8,559,311 common shares at $64.25/share ($632.5M including over-allotment)
Subsidiary Tongmei withdrew its Shanghai Stock Exchange listing application on 2026-06-26 and shifted to a Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing
Signed long-term InP supply agreements with Coherent, Casella, and Lumentum, each including upfront deposits (Lumentum totaling $87M, signed 2026-07-26)
Board expanded from 4 to 6 members through two additions in June and July 2026 (independent director ratio approx. 83%)

Theme Relevance

#AI
5/5
Q2 2026 InP revenue reached a record $30.7M, reportedly driven by growing demand for optical communications used in AI data centers (semiconductor-today, 2026-08-04).
#Semiconductors
5/5
#Tariffs & Trade
3/5
#Geopolitical Risk
5/5

Full Analysis

AXT Inc (NASDAQ: AXTI)
As of 2026-08-14 · Closing price 81.64 USD · Previous close 77.45 USD (+5.41% vs. previous day) · Volume 9,632,543 shares · Market cap approx. $5.35B (65,573,212 shares outstanding, as of 2026-08-03)

Fact Summary

AXT closed at $81.64 on the Nasdaq on 2026-08-14 (+5.41% vs. the previous day). In its Q2 2026 results announced on 2026-07-30, revenue reached a record quarterly high of $47.6 million (+77% quarter-over-quarter, +164% year-over-year), and GAAP operating income turned positive at $10.42 million (versus -$6.70 million in Q2 2025). The company signed long-term indium phosphide (InP) wafer supply agreements with Coherent, Casella, and Lumentum, each including upfront deposits, and its subsidiary Tongmei withdrew its Shanghai Stock Exchange listing application on 2026-06-26, shifting instead toward a Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing.

Price-Change Context Note

The 2026-08-14 rally extended the upward move that formed after the Q2 2026 results (record revenue, return to operating profit) were announced on 2026-07-30; optical-communications-related stocks (Applied Optoelectronics, Lumentum, Corning) also rose the same day. The 8/14 volume of 9.63 million shares was below the recent 20-day average volume of 11.83 million shares, appearing as an extension of the elevated trading levels that have continued since late July.

Business Overview and Product Revenue Mix

AXT is a materials science company founded in 1986 that manufactures InP (indium phosphide), GaAs (gallium arsenide), and Ge (germanium) compound and elemental semiconductor substrates through its Beijing, China-based subsidiary Tongmei. The Q2 2026 revenue mix by product (secondary source, compiled from company disclosures) is as follows.

InP
64.5%
Raw material JVs (BoYu, JinMei)
21%
GaAs
13.9%
Ge
0.6%

As of 2026-07-30 · Source: semiconductor-today (secondary source, compiled from company disclosures) — the original press release does not break out figures by product

5-Year Annual Revenue Trend

Annual Revenue (in $ millions)
AXT Annual Revenue Trend 2021-2025137.42021141.1202275.8202399.4202488.32025
As of each year's 10-K/20-F (2021-2024: accession no. 0001558370-25-003004; 2025: accession no. 0001437749-26-008612) · Consolidated basis · A (Actual) · Red bars = years with YoY revenue increase, blue bars = years with YoY revenue decrease (2021 shown in default color, no prior-year comparison available)

Quarterly Revenue and Operating Income Trend (Q3 2025-Q2 2026)

Quarterly Revenue (in $ millions) · Color = direction of operating income for the quarter
AXT Quarterly Revenue Trend Q3 2025-Q2 202628.025Q323.025Q426.926Q147.626Q2
As of confirmed financial data, derived by subtracting cumulative figures (Q3 2025 10-Q accession no. 0001437749-25-034843; 2025 annual accession no. 0001437749-26-008612; Q1/Q2 2026 10-Q accession nos. 0001437749-26-017054/027677) · A (Actual) · Red = operating income positive for the quarter, blue = operating income negative for the quarter

Capital Structure Changes (Before/After the April 2026 Large Equity Offering)

Total Assets
$1.097B
As of 2026-06-30 (A) · 2025-12-31: $434M
Total Equity
$887M
As of 2026-06-30 (A) · 2025-12-31: $273M
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
16.38%
As of 2026-06-30 (A) · 2025-12-31: 36.27% (fell to its lowest level in 5 years)
April 2026 Public Offering
Approx. $550M
8,559,311 new shares issued at $64.25/share ($632.5M including over-allotment, 2026-04-22, Form 8-K)

Valuation (Fact-Based Multiples)

P/E (TTM)
1,321x
Based on TTM net income of approx. $4.05M (A) · 2026-08-14 closing price $81.64 · Likely distorted by the single profitable quarter in Q2 2026
P/B
6.03x
Based on book value per share of $13.53 (as of 2026-06-30, A)
P/S (TTM)
42.65x
Based on TTM revenue of approx. $126M (A)
EV/Revenue (TTM)
40.04x
Reference figure · EV≈market cap - net cash; mixes cash/debt as of 2026-06-30 with market cap as of 2026-08-14

Competitive Landscape

Combined share of top 3 GaAs suppliers (AXT, Sumitomo, Freiberger)
approx. 95%
Combined share of top 3 InP suppliers (AXT, Sumitomo, JX Advanced Metals)
80-90%
CompetitorLocationFact-Based Notes
Sumitomo ElectricJapan (unlisted division)Top-tier in both the GaAs and InP markets; division-level financials not separately disclosed
Freiberger Compound MaterialsGermany (private)One of the top 3 GaAs/InP suppliers; financial figures not disclosed
JX Advanced MetalsJapan (Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed)On 2026-06-16, announced plans to invest up to JPY 120B over the next 4 years to expand InP production capacity (targeting a 7-10x increase versus fiscal year 2025)
IQE plcUnited Kingdom (London Stock Exchange-listed)Focused on epitaxial wafers; H1 2026 revenue of at least GBP 64M, no bank debt (as of 2026-06-30)

Governance and Capital Markets Disclosure History

Institutional ownership (stockanalysis.com)
68.38%
Institutional ownership (WhaleWisdom, conflicting figure)
47.51%
Insider ownership
4.04%

Independent director ratio approx. 83% The board was expanded twice, in June and July 2026, growing from 4 to 6 members (Tracy Liu and Jia-Bin Duh newly appointed; 5 of 6 members independent).

DateEvent
2025-12-30Announced a common stock public offering of approx. $87M
2026-01-26/29Leonard J. LeBlanc's independence reaffirmed and designated as Audit Committee chair
2026-04-21~22Common stock public offering of 8,559,311 shares (at $64.25/share, raising approx. $632.5M including over-allotment)
2026-06-17Tracy Liu appointed as independent director (board expanded from 4 to 5)
2026-07-16/22Jia-Bin Duh appointed as independent director (board expanded from 5 to 6)
2026-07-26Bylaw amendment — shareholder meeting quorum requirement eased from a majority to 33.3%
2026-07-26Signed a 6-year capacity reservation agreement with Lumentum (total deposits of $87M)

Institutional ownership figures conflict across sources, ranging from 47.51% to 68.38%, and primary-source reconciliation has not been confirmed, so they are treated as reference figures only (as of the 2026-08-15 snapshot).

Macro Environment (as of 2026-08-14)

FactorCurrent ValueNotes
Fed funds rate3.50-3.75%Held steady at the 2026-07-29 FOMC meeting
US 10-year Treasury yield4.68-4.70%As of 2026-08-14 close
SOX (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index)12,098.472026-08-11 close (exact 8/14 close not available)
Nasdaq Composite26,729.162026-08-14 close, -0.28% vs. previous day
China export license backlogOver $100MAs of the 2026-07-29 earnings release
Gallium price (China domestic, SMM)$234.62/kgAs of 2026-08-03, stable/range-bound
USD/CNY exchange rate6.74342026-08-14, strongest yuan since February 2023

Confirmed Points of Note

  • China export licenses: GaAs has required case-by-case export licenses from China's Ministry of Commerce since 2023, and InP since February 2025; Q4 2025 revenue fell 8.4% year-over-year to $23M due to delays in license issuance.
  • US tariffs: During 2025, wafer import tariffs rose to as high as 70%, and the share of revenue from North America fell from 8% in 2024 to approx. 2% in 2025.
  • Exchange rate: A stronger yuan (6.7434, the highest level since February 2023) creates a channel for higher dollar-converted costs at the Beijing production base.
  • Tongmei's shift to a Hong Kong listing may trigger redemption rights held by existing private equity investors (approx. $49M, 2026-06-26).
  • Short-term borrowings increased to $84.23M (as of 2026-06-30, up from $62.8M at year-end 2025).
  • The TTM P/E of 1,321x and P/S of 42.65x indicate a high absolute valuation level, and the 52-week price range of $2.05-$143.16 reflects high volatility.

Supply and Demand Trends (as of the 2026-08-15 snapshot, some figures conflict)

ItemFigureNotes
Short interest (% of float)16.43% (estimated)2026-08-15 snapshot; not reconciled against FINRA's official settlement date
8/14 volume9.63M sharesBelow the 20-day average of 11.83M shares
Insider trading (June 2026)CEO sold 197,498 shares on the open market after exercising stock optionsTwo directors also sold 22,000 and 8,333 shares respectively; July-August data not available

Theme Relevance

Semiconductors
5
A manufacturer of GaAs/InP compound semiconductor substrates, the company posted a record quarterly revenue of $47.6M in Q2 2026 (2026-07-30 earnings release).
AI
5
Q2 2026 InP revenue reached a record $30.7M, reportedly driven by growing demand for optical communications used in AI data centers (semiconductor-today, 2026-08-04).
Geopolitical Risk-Sensitive Stock
5
GaAs has required case-by-case export licenses from China's Ministry of Commerce since 2023, and InP since February 2025; Q4 2025 revenue fell 8.4% year-over-year to $23M due to delays in license issuance (2026-03-09 earnings release).
Tariffs and Trade
3
During 2025, US import tariffs on AXT's wafers rose to as high as 70%, and the share of revenue from North America fell from 8% in 2024 to approx. 2% in 2025 (10-K disclosure).

Fact Highlights

Q2 2026 revenue reached a record quarterly high of $47.6M (+77% QoQ, +164% YoY; announced 2026-07-30)
GAAP operating income turned positive at $10.42M (versus -$6.70M in Q2 2025)
Raised approx. $550M in April 2026 through a public offering of 8,559,311 common shares at $64.25/share ($632.5M including over-allotment)
Subsidiary Tongmei withdrew its Shanghai Stock Exchange listing application on 2026-06-26 and shifted to a Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing
Signed long-term InP supply agreements with Coherent, Casella, and Lumentum, each including upfront deposits (Lumentum totaling $87M, signed 2026-07-26)
Board expanded from 4 to 6 members through two additions in June and July 2026 (independent director ratio approx. 83%)

This is not investment advice. FomoLog provides factual summaries and post-hoc price-change context only. Investment decisions and their outcomes are solely the responsibility of the investor.

Generated by FomoLog Agent · Data sources: Korea Exchange · NASDAQ · DART · SEC EDGAR