IREN Ltd

IREN
· NASDAQ
Analyzed 2026-08-144 days sinceGenerated by FomoLog Agent
FOMO Score
+1.91%
+$0.84 · per share
Report-date close → Current (2026-08-17)
$44.06$44.90
Days Held
4d
Price As Of
2026-08-17
Not investment adviceThis is not investment advice. FomoLog provides factual summaries and post-hoc price-change context only. Investment decisions and their outcomes are solely the responsibility of the investor.Legal Notice ↗

Price Trend

Report date → now · daily close
$43.5$44.0$44.5$45.0$45.5Aug 13Aug 14Aug 17Report date $44.06Current $44.90

Summary

IREN Ltd is a Nasdaq-listed company transitioning from bitcoin mining to AI cloud and data center leasing, and announced on 2026-08-13 that it had delivered the first phase (Horizon 1, 50MW at its Childress, Texas campus) of its five-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud agreement with Microsoft and had been granted 'Exemplar Cloud' status by NVIDIA. Q3 FY2026 (January–March 2026) revenue was $144.8 million, 34.14% below consensus, while AI cloud revenue rose 94.2% quarter-over-quarter to $33.6 million. On 2026-08-04, the company completed the acquisition of cloud software company Mirantis Inc., issuing approximately 12.6 million new shares. The 2026-08-14 closing price was $44.06, down 1.56% from the prior day.

Price-Change Context Note

The 2026-08-14 closing price ($44.06) is in a consolidation phase following an approximately 50% rebound from the 2026-07-29 low ($29.31), and falls one trading day after the 2026-08-13 announcement of Microsoft Horizon 1 delivery and NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status. Over the same period, short interest rose for a fourth consecutive settlement date, reaching 28.94% of shares outstanding as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date.

Key Facts

2026-08-14 closing price $44.06, -1.56% from the prior day, volume 42,034,051 shares (Toss Securities Open API, as of 2026-08-14)
2026-08-13: Delivered first phase (Horizon 1) of five-year, $9.7 billion Microsoft AI cloud agreement; granted NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status (GlobeNewswire, 2026-08-13)
Q3 FY2026 (January–March 2026) revenue of $144.8 million, -34.14% vs. consensus; AI cloud revenue up +94.2% quarter-over-quarter to $33.6 million (SEC 10-Q, announced 2026-05-07)
FY2025 annual revenue of $501.0 million; operating income of $17.33 million marking the company's first annual profitability (SEC 10-K, Accession No. 0001878848-25-000063)
Short interest was 28.94% of shares outstanding as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date, up approximately 52% over six weeks (FINRA aggregated data via MarketBeat, 2026-07-31)
2026-08-04: Completed Mirantis Inc. acquisition, issuing approximately 12.6 million new common shares (SEC 8-K, filed 2026-08-04)

Theme Relevance

#AI
5/5
On 2026-08-13, delivered the first phase (Horizon 1, 50MW) of its five-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud agreement with Microsoft and was granted Exemplar Cloud status by NVIDIA (GlobeNewswire, 2026-08-13).
#Semiconductors
3/5
#Power Infrastructure
4/5

Full Analysis

IREN Ltd (IREN) · NASDAQ
As of 2026-08-14 · Closing price 44.06 USD · Change from prior day -1.56% · Volume 42,034,051 shares
Market cap 15,746,104,376 USD (357,378,674 shares outstanding, as of 2026-04-30, all classes combined)

Factual Summary

IREN Ltd is a Nasdaq-listed company transitioning from bitcoin mining to AI cloud and data center leasing, and announced on 2026-08-13 that it had delivered the first phase (Horizon 1, 50MW at its Childress, Texas campus) of its five-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud agreement with Microsoft and had been granted 'Exemplar Cloud' status by NVIDIA. Q3 FY2026 (January–March 2026) revenue was $144.8 million, 34.14% below consensus, while AI cloud revenue rose 94.2% quarter-over-quarter to $33.6 million. On 2026-08-04, the company completed the acquisition of cloud software company Mirantis Inc., issuing approximately 12.6 million new shares.

Price-Change Context

The 2026-08-14 closing price ($44.06) is in a consolidation phase following an approximately 50% rebound from the 2026-07-29 low ($29.31), and falls one trading day after the 2026-08-13 announcement of Microsoft Horizon 1 delivery and NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status. Over the same period, short interest rose for a fourth consecutive settlement date, reaching 28.94% of shares outstanding as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date.

Business Overview

IREN Limited is a Nasdaq-listed data center operator headquartered in Sydney, Australia, transitioning from bitcoin mining to AI cloud and AI data center infrastructure. Total operating data center capacity is 810MW, with operations organized into three segments: (1) bitcoin mining, (2) AI cloud services, and (3) AI data center infrastructure (SBO Financial, Investing.com, as of research date).

AI Cloud Revenue Share
23%
As of Q3 FY2026 (January–March 2026, three months standalone) · AI cloud revenue $33.6 million / total revenue $144.8 million (C, -34.14% vs. consensus) · Source: SEC 10-Q, GlobeNewswire, announced 2026-05-07

Major Strategic Agreements

CounterpartySize · TermKey Terms
Microsoft$9.7 billion · 5 yearsNVIDIA GB300 GPU-based cloud infrastructure at the Childress, Texas campus, including 20% upfront payment. First phase (Horizon 1, 50MW) delivered 2026-08-13
NVIDIA$3.4 billion · 5 yearsManaged GPU cloud (including orchestration), ~60MW at Childress, air-cooled Blackwell. Granted 'Exemplar Cloud' status on 2026-08-13
Dell Technologies~$5.8 billionProcurement of GPUs and ancillary equipment (ancillary to the Microsoft agreement)
As of each agreement's announcement date (2025-11-03, 2026-05-07) and 2026-08-13 delivery reporting · Source: IREN IR, GlobeNewswire (A)

5-Year Financial Trend

Annual Revenue (in $ millions)
7.959.075.5187.2501.0FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
As of each fiscal year-end (6/30) · Source: SEC 10-K, Accession Nos. 0001878848-25-000063, 0001140361-23-043816 (A, confirmed primary source)
Fiscal YearRevenueOperating Income (Loss)Net Income (Loss)Total Equity
FY2025501,023,00017,327,00086,941,0001,817,488,000
FY2024187,192,000-27,234,000-28,920,0001,097,471,000
FY202375,509,000-157,241,000-171,827,000305,448,000
FY202259,037,000307,000-419,770,000437,405,000
FY20217,898,000-524,000-60,390,000-49,454,000

FY2025 marked the company's first annual operating income and net income profitability (SEC 10-K, Accession No. 0001878848-25-000063, A). H1 FY2026 (2025-07-01 to 2025-12-31, primary source) shows revenue of $424,987,000, operating loss of $192,808,000, net income of $229,204,000, and total equity of $2,511,193,000. Note that the system's confirmed 'cumulative Q3 2026' revenue figure ($313,731,000) is arithmetically inconsistent, as it is lower than the H1 cumulative figure; the Q3 FY2026 (January–March 2026, three months standalone) revenue confirmed by separately cross-checking the original SEC 10-Q filing is $144.8 million — this discrepancy between the two figures was not resolved by this research and is presented as-is.

Valuation (Factual Multiples)

Market Cap
15.75B USD
As of 2026-08-14 closing price (A, primary source)
EV/Revenue
24.9x
2026-06-30 estimate (secondary, Multiples.vc)
EV/EBITDA
62.5x
2026-06-30 estimate (secondary, Multiples.vc)
P/B (calculated)
6.27x
2026-08-14 closing price vs. H1 FY2026 period-end equity (E, differing reference dates)
BVPS (calculated)
7.03 USD
Total equity ÷ shares outstanding (E)
P/E (TTM)
Not available
Sources range from 53.96x to 118.89x; no confirmed figure available

Peer Comparison

Market Cap Comparison (in $ billions)
15.759.126.81~3.2IRENCIFRCORZCLSK
Filled bar = IREN as of 2026-08-14 closing price (A, primary source) · Outlined bars = CIFR, CORZ, CLSK, retrieved early-to-mid August 2026 (secondary aggregation; retrieval times differ by ticker — not the same reference date)

IREN, Cipher Mining (CIFR), Core Scientific (CORZ), and CleanSpark (CLSK) are all publicly traded companies transitioning from bitcoin mining to AI/HPC data centers. IREN operates a model of directly serving GPU cloud from its own data centers, whereas CIFR takes a long-term real estate and power leasing model aimed at hyperscalers (Investing.com, EnkiAI, as of research date).

Supply and Demand

Short Interest Ratio Trend (% of Float)
19.0%22.4%27.6%28.94%6/156/307/157/31
As of settlement dates 2026-06-15 to 07-31 (approximate points = unverified) · Source: FINRA short interest data, secondary aggregation (MarketBeat; presented as an estimate without cross-checking the primary FINRA source)

As of 2026-03-31, institutional ownership per 13F filings was 49.81% (a slight decline from 50.5% in the prior quarter), with more institutions increasing their holdings (330) than decreasing them (111) (BusinessQuant, secondary aggregation). Q2 2026 (period ended 6/30) 13F data was not available as of the research date (2026-08-15).

Governance and Capital Structure

Goldman Sachs Group
9.4%
Bank of America Corp
5.8%
Roberts Co-CEOs (combined, 2 individuals)
13.2%
Goldman Sachs and Bank of America figures are from SC 13G filings as of 2026-06-30 (filed 2026-08-12 and 08-03, respectively, A) · Roberts brothers' stake is calculated (E) by summing their 2026-07-01 Form 4 holdings (23,641,221 shares each) and dividing by total shares outstanding (357,378,674)
Shares Outstanding (2025-08-15)
271,980,494 shares
Per 10-K cover page
Shares Outstanding (2026-04-30)
357,378,674 shares
Per SC 13G citation, +31.4% over ~8.5 months
DateEvent
2025-12-03Priced $2.0 billion total convertible notes (2032 and 2033 maturities); repurchased ~$1.63 billion of existing convertible notes
2026-05-07Announced 5-year, $3.4 billion AI cloud agreement with NVIDIA and grant of warrants (strike price $70, up to 30 million shares)
2026-05-15Completed issuance of $3.0 billion convertible notes (2033 maturity, 1% coupon) (green shoe fully exercised)
2026-07-01Granted approximately $800 million in RSUs to the two co-CEOs combined
2026-08-04Completed acquisition of Mirantis Inc., issuing approximately 12.6 million new common shares
2026-08-13Delivered Microsoft Horizon 1; granted NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status
2026-08-27FY2026 (fiscal year ended June 30) annual results scheduled for release

The board of directors comprises four independent non-executive directors, including Chairman David Bartholomew (independent), and two founder co-CEOs (Daniel Roberts and William Roberts, executive directors) (DEF 14A, filed 2025-09-11).

Macro Environment

Bitcoin Price
62,829 USD
2026-08-14, approximately -47% year-over-year
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
4.68~4.70%
2026-08-14
Fed Funds Rate
3.50~3.75%
2026-07-29 FOMC hold
ERCOT Texas Grid Peak Demand
91,089 MW
All-time high, 2026-07-22

IREN's share price appears more sensitive to company-specific events, such as news of Microsoft and NVIDIA contract execution, than to common macro indicators — on 2026-08-13, the day contract execution news was announced, IREN shares rose intraday to $49.19 (Cryptonomist, 2026-08-13).

Risk Factors (Factual List)

Customer Concentration

Contract-based ARR is heavily concentrated in two customers, Microsoft and NVIDIA; a reduction or delay in either contract would have a significant impact on revenue visibility.

Circular Financing Concerns

There are concerns that the structure — where NVIDIA is simultaneously a GPU supplier and a potential equity investor/customer via warrants (strike price $70, up to 30 million shares) — may overstate underlying demand (summarized from analyst reports around 2026-05-11, secondary source).

Dilution

Repeated equity issuances continue, including a total of $4.0 billion in convertible notes, NVIDIA warrants for up to 30 million shares, and new shares issued for the Mirantis acquisition.

GPU Supply Chain

Demand for NVIDIA GPUs and networking equipment exceeds supply, and the 10-K risk factors list the potential obsolescence of previously deployed hardware relative to newer GPUs.

Business Transition Execution

In transitioning from bitcoin mining to an AI infrastructure business requiring large upfront capital investment, there is a burden to meet Microsoft's delivery schedule.

Power Grid & Regulation

On 2026-08-03, the Texas governor ordered an audit of all data center projects registered in the grid interconnection queue (474GW+).

Recent News Timeline

DateDetails
2026-08-13Delivered Microsoft Horizon 1 (50MW); granted NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status; shares rose intraday to $49.19
2026-08-04Completed Mirantis Inc. acquisition (issued ~12.6 million shares)
2026-08-03Texas governor ordered audit of all data center projects in the grid interconnection queue
2026-07-29Shares fell -13.62% (closing at $29.31, July low) — combination of macro risk-off sentiment and backlash over executive compensation plan
2026-07-20Signed new customer contract worth $2.8 billion
2026-07-01Granted approximately $800 million in RSUs to the two co-CEOs combined
2026-05-07Announced Q3 FY2026 results (revenue missed consensus) simultaneously with the $3.4 billion NVIDIA agreement

Theme Relevance

AI
5
On 2026-08-13, delivered the first phase (Horizon 1, 50MW) of its five-year, $9.7 billion AI cloud agreement with Microsoft and was granted Exemplar Cloud status by NVIDIA (GlobeNewswire, 2026-08-13).
Power Infrastructure
4
IREN's AI cloud business operates on 810MW of total data center infrastructure, including its Childress, Texas site, and the regional ERCOT grid recorded an all-time peak demand of 91,089MW on 2026-07-22 (Unix Commerce, 2026-07-22).
Semiconductors
3
IREN signed a five-year, $3.4 billion managed AI cloud services agreement with NVIDIA and was granted warrants from NVIDIA for up to 30 million shares at a $70 strike price, directly linking it to the GPU supply chain (GlobeNewswire, 2026-05-07).

Fact Highlights

2026-08-14 closing price $44.06, -1.56% from the prior day, volume 42,034,051 shares (Toss Securities Open API, 2026-08-14)
2026-08-13: Delivered first phase (Horizon 1) of five-year, $9.7 billion Microsoft agreement; granted NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud status (GlobeNewswire)
Q3 FY2026 revenue of $144.8 million (-34.14% vs. consensus); AI cloud revenue up +94.2% quarter-over-quarter to $33.6 million
FY2025 annual revenue of $501.0 million; operating income of $17.33 million marking the company's first annual profitability (SEC 10-K)
Short interest at 28.94% of shares outstanding as of the 2026-07-31 settlement date, up approximately 52% over six weeks (FINRA aggregated data)
2026-08-04: Completed Mirantis Inc. acquisition, issuing approximately 12.6 million new common shares (SEC 8-K)
This is not investment advice. FomoLog provides factual summaries and post-hoc price-change context only. Investment decisions and their outcomes are solely the responsibility of the investor.
Generated by FomoLog Agent · Data sources: NASDAQ, SEC EDGAR