Factual Summary
In its Q2 earnings released on 2026-07-28, Bloom Energy reported revenue of $1,065.4M (+165.5% year-over-year), surpassing $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time, and GAAP net income of $196.3M, swinging to profit from a net loss in the year-ago period. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance from $3.4B-$3.8B to $3.9B-$4.2B (2026-07-28). On 2026-07-08, short-seller outlet Hunterbrook Capital/Media published a report alleging China ties in the scandium supply chain, which the company rebutted via an SEC 8-K. The 2026-07-31 close of $205.81 (-0.63% day-over-day) largely retained the post-earnings surge.
Price-Change Context Note
As the 2026-07-08 short-seller report coincided with concerns over delays to the Oracle and AEP project timelines, the stock fell 26.6% over 30 days, from $252.02 on June 26 to $184.89 on July 24, before surging intraday by as much as 28-32% on July 29-30 following the Q2 earnings release on July 28, reversing much of the decline. FINRA short interest as of the 2026-07-15 settlement date was approximately 7% of shares outstanding, down from the 10-12% range seen in mid-May to mid-June, and any change in short interest following the early-July short-seller report will not be confirmed until the next official disclosure (expected mid-August 2026).
Business Overview and Q2 Results
Bloom Energy is a manufacturer of distributed power generation platforms based on solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) technology, offering two product lines: the Bloom Energy Server, which converts natural gas, biogas, hydrogen, and other fuels into electricity via a flameless electrochemical process, and the Bloom Electrolyzer, a hydrogen-production system built on the same platform. Cumulatively, approximately 1.2GW of Energy Servers have been installed at more than 1,200 sites across 7 countries (FY2025 10-K, SEC EDGAR).
The company's full-year 2026 revenue outlook (E, company estimate) was raised in the 2026-07-28 announcement from a prior range of $3.4B-$3.8B to $3.9B-$4.2B (the initial guidance issued in 2026-02 was $3.1B-$3.3B). There is a large gap, by accounting definition, between the company's externally cited total backlog (an unaudited metric) of approximately $20B and the audited remaining performance obligation (RPO) disclosed in its SEC 10-Q (approximately $492.6M as of 2026-03-31) (see Valuation section).
5-Year Financial Trend
| Year | Revenue | YoY | GAAP Gross Margin | GAAP Operating Income (Loss) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $972.2M | - | 20.3% | -$114.5M |
| FY2022 | $1,199.1M | +23.3% | 12.4% | -$261.0M |
| FY2023 | $1,333.5M | +11.2% | 14.8% | -$208.9M |
| FY2024 | $1,473.9M | +10.5% | 27.5% | $22.9M |
| FY2025 | $2,023.9M | +37.3% | 29.0% | $72.8M |
After operating losses in FY2022-2023, the company turned operating-profitable starting FY2024, with gross margin improving to 29.0% in FY2025 (company annual earnings releases, A). In the first half of 2026, quarterly revenue growth accelerated, with Q1 revenue of $751.1M (+130.4% YoY) and Q2 revenue of $1,065.4M (+165.5% YoY) (A).
Peer Comparison
Compared against the three publicly listed fuel-cell companies with the most similar business models (note the differences: Plug Power spans the broader hydrogen value chain, FuelCell Energy focuses on molten carbonate fuel cells plus carbon capture, and Ballard Power is weighted toward PEM fuel cells for mobility applications), Bloom Energy is the only one to have achieved GAAP/Non-GAAP profitability, making earnings-based multiples calculable.
| Metric | BE | PLUG | FCEL | BLDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $60.62B | $2.87B | $1.73B | $801.66M |
| PER (Trailing) | 231.95 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| EV/EBITDA | 150.73 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2026 YTD Share Price | +219% | +42% | +135% | Not available |
PLUG, FCEL, and BLDP all reported net losses and negative EBITDA, making earnings-based multiples uncalculable (n/a). The 2026 YTD share price figures are a snapshot as of the article publication date (2026-06-15), not current as of 8/1 (for reference only, stockanalysis.com, 247wallst.com, A).
Valuation (Factual Multiples)
The gap between the company's externally cited total backlog (unaudited) of approximately $20B and the audited remaining performance obligation (RPO) disclosed in its SEC 10-Q (approximately $492.6M as of 2026-03-31) was one of the key points raised in the 2026-07 short-seller report, fueling debate over the reliability of the backlog metric that underpins the stock's elevated Price/Sales multiple (techtimes.com, A). Multiple-value discrepancies were observed across data providers for the same point in time (for example, another source cited a Trailing PER of 184.55 and EV/EBITDA of 119.97); this report adopts stockanalysis.com's page reflecting the 2026-07-31 close as its primary source.
Supply & Demand (Short Interest & Volume)
| Settlement Date | Short Interest (shares) | % of Float | Days to Cover |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | 19,185,518 | approx. 7.0% | 1.48 days |
| 2026-06-30 | 19,348,027 | approx. 7.0-7.78% | 1.11 days |
| 2026-06-15 | 29,780,167 | approx. 10.8-12.0% | 2.81 days |
| 2026-05-15 | 28,998,320 | approx. 10.5% | 2.99 days |
These are cross-checked figures from secondary sources such as Benzinga and MarketBeat, not a direct comparison against original FINRA data (A). Following a sharp 35.0% decline as of 2026-06-30, the figure stabilized, but this predates the 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-09 short-seller report disclosure. The actual change in short interest following the report will not be confirmed until the next official FINRA disclosure (expected around 2026-08-12 to 2026-08-14).
Abnormal Volume Volume on 2026-07-31 was approximately 2.5x the long-term average, in a period overlapping with the post-earnings AI power demand narrative (MarketChameleon and others, A). Approximately 1,007 institutional/individual holders have reported positions, totaling 265,120,410 shares (13F aggregation from WhaleWisdom and others, mostly as of Q1 2026 — Q2 13F filings are not yet available, as the filing deadline is around 2026-08-14).
Governance & Ownership
| Shareholder/Institution | Ownership | As-of Date (Filing) |
|---|---|---|
| Ameriprise Financial | 8.1% | As of 2026-03-31 (filed 2026-05-15) |
| BlackRock | 6.0% | As of 2026-06-30 (filed 2026-07-27) |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.4% | As of 2026-03-31 (filed 2026-05-11) |
| The Vanguard Group | 0% | As of 2026-03-13 (filed 2026-03-26) |
| KR Sridhar (Chairman & CEO) | 2.0% | As of 2026-02-27 |
| SK ecoplant | 2.5% | As of 2025-12-31 (10-K) |
There are discrepancies between the figures reported in the DEF 14A (filed 2026-04-08) and subsequently individually updated SC 13G/A filings, owing to differing as-of dates; figures are shown alongside each other based on the latest individual filing (SEC EDGAR, A). BlackRock and Vanguard both reduced their holdings during the first half of 2026 (Vanguard reported an effectively 0% stake).
The board of directors consists of 9 members (including Chairman and CEO KR Sridhar, with 8 independent directors). Simon Edwards became the new CFO effective 2026-04-13 (announced 2026-03-26; his predecessor, Daniel Berenbaum, departed effective 2025-05-01). The company entered into a voting agreement with SK ecoplant and Econovation, LLC, granting Sridhar a discretionary, irrevocable proxy over the 6,971,701 shares (approximately 2.5% of shares outstanding) held by the two entities (DEF 14A, A).
Recent dilution events include: 0% convertible notes issued 2025-11-04 (maturing 2030-11, $2.5B principal, conversion price of $194.97 per share, approximately 12.82 million potentially dilutive shares) and the 2025-10-28 Oracle warrant agreement (up to 3,531,073 shares, exercise price $113.28) (10-K, 10-Q, A). Shares outstanding stood at 293,354,001 as of 2026-06-30, up +4.7% from 2025-12-31.
Macro Environment
| Indicator | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| US Fed Funds Rate | 3.50-3.75% | 2026-07-29 FOMC (5th consecutive hold) |
| US 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.69% | 2026-07-30 close |
| Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price | $2.79/MMBtu | 2026-07-31 |
| PJM Wholesale Power Price (Average) | $136.53/MWh (+75.5% YoY) | Q1 2026 |
| PJM Capacity Market Price | $329.17/MW-day | 2026/27 Delivery Year |
The surge in PJM wholesale and capacity market prices is primarily driven by rapidly growing data center load (The Register, IEEFA, A), which, combined with delays in new grid interconnection queues, is a backdrop that spurs adoption of grid-bypassing onsite generation. The high-interest-rate environment affects the company mainly indirectly, through the project financing costs of its customers and partners, rather than directly (the company's own exposure is limited by the 0% coupon on its notes maturing 2030) (macro research, A). Tariffs on imported components such as steel, aluminum, and copper are qualitatively mentioned as a cost-increase risk factor in the 10-Q (2026-06-30), but a specific impact amount is not available.
News Timeline
- 2026-06-30 — Expanded AI infrastructure power partnership with Brookfield 5x, from $5B to $25B
- 2026-07-08 — Hunterbrook Capital/Media published a short-seller report (alleging China ties in the scandium supply chain); shares closed -5.7% that day (intraday decline of up to -12%)
- 2026-07-09 — Company rebutted the report via an SEC 8-K, stating it has sufficient scandium oxide supply and does not depend on China
- 2026-07-18 — Natural gas pipeline application related to Oracle's Project Jupiter was rejected again by the New Mexico state government
- 2026-07-24 — Shares closed at $184.89, down -26.6% over 30 days from $252.02 on 6/26 (combined factors: short-seller report, project delay concerns, sector rotation)
- 2026-07-28 — Q2 earnings released (revenue $1,065.4M, +165.5% YoY) and full-year revenue guidance raised
- 2026-07-29 to 2026-07-30 — Shares rose intraday by as much as +28% to +32% following the earnings release
- 2026-07-31 — Closed at $205.81 (-0.63%) on volume of 21,963,452 shares, retaining most of the earnings-driven gain
2026-08-01 (the report date) is a US market holiday, so there is no new primary disclosure or trading data. The capacity figure cited for Oracle's Project Jupiter varies by source between 1.8GW and 2.8GW, and a phase-by-phase confirmed figure is not available.
Risk Factors
Customer Concentration As of the first half of 2026, a single customer accounted for approximately 73% of total revenue, and three customers accounted for 36%, 34%, and 17% of accounts receivable, respectively (TipRanks summary, based on the 10-Q, A). Key customers and partners include CoreWeave, Oracle (2.8GW master services agreement), Equinix, and AEP.
Short Seller & Litigation Following the 2026-07-08 short-seller report from Hunterbrook Capital/Media (alleging China ties in the scandium supply chain), a class-action lawsuit (Nevins v. Bloom Energy Corporation, N.D. Cal.) was filed on behalf of investors who acquired shares between 2025-02-27 and 2026-07-08 (Bloomberg Law, A). The status of the proceedings (dismissal or settlement) is not available.
Geopolitical & Supply Chain The allegations of China ties for rare metals such as scandium suggest exposure to shifting US-China trade tensions and export controls. OBBBA's restrictions on the use of components from Foreign Entities of Concern (FEOC) could act as a factor increasing project costs for the 48E tax credit (legal advisory materials, A).
Financial As of the first half of 2026, recourse debt (including convertible notes) was approximately $2,475.4M, the debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) was approximately 2.56, and the current ratio was approximately 4.99 (aggregated from secondary sources; cross-checking against the original 10-Q is recommended). In 2025-11, the company issued $2.2B in 0% convertible notes (maturing 2030) and entered into a $600M secured revolving credit facility.
In its most recent filing, the company disclosed a total of 57 risk factors (based on the 10-K filed 2025-02-27), with the highest shares by category being Production (26%), Financial & Corporate (23%), and Legal & Regulatory (23%) (TipRanks aggregation, secondary source).
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Fact Highlights
This is not investment advice. FomoLog provides factual summaries and post-hoc price-change context only. Investment decisions and their outcomes are solely the responsibility of the investor.
Generated by FomoLog Agent · Data sources: Korea Exchange · NASDAQ · DART · SEC EDGAR